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Title: Pre-Season Preview (2001/2002)
Description: The First Ever ASRL Season


chriswalkerbush - July 5, 2003 04:56 AM (GMT)
It hardly seems like a full eight months since Manly toppled Brisbane, but already we're nearing kickoff of the 2001/2002 season. Not only have play movements made this season particularly interested, but the introduction of three new clubs intensifies the struggle for a place in the Final 8! On that topic, the ASRL have introduced a NEW Final 8 system, which we'll see for the first time mid-2002! With all this and the usual high standard of football, we can expect an exciting season!

To make it a little easier on those out there, I've compiled a comprehensive guide to the sides in this year's premiership, excluding the two as yet unnamed sides. As always, it's best to start at the top and work one's way down. Here goes;

#1- Perth Taipans
It's hard to go past the Taipans, who have been one of the form sides over the best five years. Although they narrowly missed out on a Grand Final berth last year, I think the experience will be good for the side. Darren Lockyer, arguably the best player in the world, leads the side and he is joined by newcomers such as Jason Lowrie. The side has also signed some interested juniors in Phil Hasaan and Chad Robinson.
*Key Player*: Darren Lockyer
*Wild Card*: Jason Lowrie
*Up and Comer*: Phil Hasaan

#2- Sydney Oilers
The Oilers have bought solidly in the off-season, and they really have everything it takes to win a premiership. Last year their half combination was found lacking, with Preston Cambell's poor kicking game compacted by Sean Rudder's inability to break a tackle. The two failed to mesh, and Sydney did the smart thing in releasing Rudder. What was the answer? Recalling footballer turned boxer Anthony Mundine. 'The Man' may just have what it takes to bring the Oilers into a Grand Final, their first of the new century.
*Key Player*: Brad Drew
*Wild Card*: Anthony Mundine
*Up and Comer*: Tony Grimaldi. He's old, but this may be his year.

#3- Hawkesbury Mavericks
The Mavericks, ably lead by Brad Fittler and Tony Butterfield haven't missed a Final Series in ten years, but must be growing tired of continually missing the big one. Aside from the one Grand Final win, Hawkesbury have been continually dissapointing when it comes to big games. With Fittler and Butterfield having over 500 games of combined experience, the problem surely wasn't inexperience. Coach Andrew Sumner seems to think that the side's problem was staying power, and has recruited to combat this. The inclusion of work horses such as Ben Roarty, Martin Lang and Mick Cassidy should work to stave off the problems of the past. The key signing, Ricky Stuart, will most likely act a secret weapon, being brought on when the opposition is looking tired and weak.
*Key Player*: Ricky Stuart
*Wild Card*: Michael Beuttener
*Up and Comer*: Shaun Edwards

#4- Hobart Devils
Here's the first of one or two surprise positions on my ladder. The Devils had an abysmal season last year, only managing to offload the wooden spoon in the final round of the competition. When former coach Dayne Rosolen was fired, and last year's losing Grand Finalist Murray Norris took over, it was no surprise that the side received a massive overhaul. More than half of the 2000 squad was fired, and a completely new side was built. Trent Barret, Brett Kimmorley, Brett Hodgson and Tommy Martyn are just some of the exciting talents now at Hobart. The side is all about attack, and it practically bristles with weapons. I can see a lot of dissapointed teams leaving Bellrieve this season.
*Key Player*: Brett Kimmorley
*Wild Card*: Tommy Martyn
*Up and Comer*: Wasaile Sabatabua

#5- Gold Coast Crusade
Surprise number two. The Crusade struggled last season, finished a pitiful eighth and being crushed out of the finals 52-14 by the on-fire Manly Cannons (pun not intended). Andrew Johns, acknowledged as the world's best player, described his feeling after the shocking loss, in which he was the only 'Crusader' to score.
*'I love the boys, but sometimes I wonder whether they want to be out there. We struggled into the finals, and you'd think the lads would be excited as hell about a chance to topple the minor premiers. I can't help but feel I was the only one out there trying tonight'*
Johns is 100% right, the Crusade have been described as a one man side ever since Brad Fittler left them to join the Mavericks in '97'. Seasoned coach Chris Walker-Bush has not panicked, and has simply focussed on taking pressure of his star halfback. The inclusion of Adam Dykes and Matthew Rodwell, both playmakers, is no doubt a ploy to take the pressure off the Australian halfback. I think it will work, and coupled with the Crusade's enormous forwards, it could be the key to the elusive premiership.
*Key Player*: Andrew Johns
*Wild Card*: Brian Carney
*Up and Comer*: Jeff Hardy

#6- Central Phoenix
The Phoenix, long seen as the danger side who couldn't make a finals series, astounded everyone when they finished a respectable fifth and pushed eventual premiers Manly to the limit in a close fought 15-12 match. I expect them to emulate that feat this year, and maybe go one better. There is no doubt that Central, with quality players such as Clinton Schifcofske and Gorden Tallis don't have what it takes, it's simply a matter of how well coach Tony Bush can motivate the Central Australian side. Expect Matt Orford and Matthew Johns to plague sides with their awesome kicking games, whilst Union-convert Gregan punishes lazy defense.
*Key Player*: Matt Orford
*Wild Card*: George Gregan
*Up and Comer*: Jamie Peacock

#7- Manly Cannons
Why are the reigning premiers so low on my ladder? Simply put, they've lost far too many quality players. Brett Kimmorley, Adam Dykes and Clinton Schifcofske have all moved on, and although coach Paul Hardwick has recruited well, the side is a shadow of the one which one a premiership last year. Still, it would be foolish to doubt the side with more premierships than any other side.
It is the Manly forward pack which will keep them competetive this year in the absence of a capable halves combination. Players like Steve Menzies and Jason Stevens can steamroll the toughest defence, and backed up by speedsters such as Mat Rogers they can spell T-R-Y from anywhere on the field. It'll be a feat for Manly to make it back to back premierships, but I wouldn't bet against them.
*Key Player*: Steve Menzies
*Wild Card*: Karle Hammond
*Up and Comer*: Paul Southern

#8- Adelaide Rangers
Another side set to improve vastly on last year's substandard season. Coach Jeff Card has recruited solidly to combat the side's troublesome lack of defensive players. Over the past two seasons, the Rangers have exhibited a shocking ability to drop enormous leads in important games. The 32-30 loss to North Melbourne last year should be ample reminder of this. The side, unlike many others, doesn't have any 'shining' players, instead it has a solid block of some incredibly talented players. Unsung heroes such as Paul Sculthorpe, James Lowes and Henry Paul combine with those around them to make the side quite threatening. The solution to the defensive problem won't be a matter of hiring new players, it'll be a matter of motivating the old ones.
*Key Player*: Paul Sculthorpe
*Wild Card*: James Lowes
*Up and Comer*: Corey Pearson

#9- Darwin Cyclones
After last year's abysmal season, anything would be an improvement, except maybe a wooden spoon. Darwin had the worst home record in the League, only winning two of their 12 home games last season. Statistics like that are career ending, and sure enough, several players were axed in the wake of the poor season. Coach John Williams described the process as 'Blooding a new side. It will be a slow process, and we don't expect an instant premiership, but in a few years we'll be up there'.
*Key Player*: Paul Wellens
*Wild Card*: Mark Tookey
*Up and Comer*: Justin Ryder

#10- Brisbane Bulls
Last year's runners up so low on the ladder? 'Why?' I hear you cry! The Bulls, to put it bluntly, didn't deserve to be there last year. They finished a shocking 7th, defeated an understrength Sydney side to qualify Major Semi, and were victors over a shocked Hawkesbury side thanks to some dubious reffing. The fact that Brisbane failed to score in the last 60 minutes of the Grand Final is ample proof that they were outclassed. In fact, the chances of them finishing anywhere near the eight rely solely upon classy halfback Allan Langer. Without him, the Bulls are little more than pretenders.
*Key Player*: Allan Langer
*Wild Card*: Shaun Berrigan
*Up and Comer*: Scott Donald

#11- Carnarvon Cowboys
It'll be same old-same old for the hapless Cowboys in 2001/2002. The side has plenty of promise, but over the past two years have failed to deliver. The sacking of coach Phil Harding was initially met with some shock, but new coach Jeanette Bush hasn't let it slow her.
*'I'm confident that we can really threaten the top sides this year, although a premiership may be a big ask'*. Maybe, but as long as the Cowboys can keep Harris, Taylor and Kennedy on the field, they can beat anyone.
*Key Player*: Iestyn Harris
*Wild Card*: Ben Kennedy
*Up and Comer*: Brett Finch

#12- New England Ferrets
Sigh. It'll be another long year down in Armidale unless coach Rowland Kelly can teach his players that you need to score tries to win games. The Ferrets had admirable defense last season, but when you're scoring a measly 10 points per game, you can't be competetive. Rowland Kelly has addressed the problem with the hiring of players such as Ben Walker being called in to stir something in the New England attacking department. 'We're a sleeping giant' joked Ferrets' 5/8th Ben Ikin, but maybe he isn't far from the truth. The addition of quality attacking players, coupled with last year's awesome defense may be the remedy for the premiership drought in rural NSW.
*Key Player*: Ben Walker
*Wild Card*: David Peachy
*Up and Comer*: Matt Cooper

#13- North Melbourne Maulers
In the finals last year, languishing down low this year. Why the sudden transition from contenders to pretenders? The side does possess attacking weapons such as Braith Anasta and Robbie Paul, as well as work-horses like Richard Swain, but it isn't the players who will be the downfall of North Melbourne. With the retirement of Mark Murray, the Maulers found themselves coachless, until rookie Stuart Robinson finally stepped forward. Whether the footballing novice can hit upon a winning formula remains to be seen, but I can see one coach whose contract won't be renewed at the end of the year, and he's stationed in Melbourne...
*Key Player*: Braith Anasta
*Wild Card*: Henry Paul
*Up and Comer*: Motu Tony

#14- Sunshine Coast Wizards
Coach David Harris must be wondering where things went wrong. One moment they were surprise premiers, the next they couldn't even qualify for the finals to defend their own title! No players have left, and coach Harris is under pressure to explain why his side hasn't been delivering the goods of late. The side is looking a little old, with most of the greats of yesteryear now either retired or on the wane. Newer players like Timana Tahu and Jason Hooper may be exciting, but it will be a few years before they can pilot their side to another premiership.
*Key Player*: Craig Gower
*Wild Card*: Timana Tahu
*Up and Comer*: Jason Hooper

#15- Wagga Redbacks
The 'baby' of the ASRL, Wagga may just surprise a few people. It's always hard to predict how a virgin side will go. New players, old players in a new environment and unknown coaches tend to cast a veil of secrecy over any new club. On paper Wagga look quite competetive, relying on tried and true players rather than more fancy ones. Steve Carter, Mitch Healey and Matt Adamson are all proven veterans, and it seems that coach Zac Zantiotos is focussing on an experienced pack rather than a flashy one. Will this more solid approach work? Only time, and 26 rounds of football, will tell.
*Key Player*: Mitch Healey
*Wild Card*: Terry Newton
*Up and Comer*: Ryan Cross

#16- Newcastle Fear
It seems like centuries since the days when sides feared Marathon stadium. With the Fear continually failing to deliver, the crowds at Marathon dwindle, and it is up to Beau Duncan to strike on the formula which will see a return to glory days. But Duncan is in a Catch 22 situation. His side needs to win to earn the money to hire good players, but without good players it is impossible to win. Full credit to players such as Brad Mackay and Brett Dallas, but they are players who are long past their best days. Backed by inexperienced rookies or 'castoff' players, the side looks more like a ramshackle residents side than an ASRL side. It'll be a struggle, but I think Newcastle could force Townsville to hold onto that wooden spoon.
*Key Player*: Ben Kusto
*Wild Card*: Adam Hayden
*Up and Comer*: David Harris

#17- Townsville Dolphins
What anti-football concontion are they putting in the water up in sunny Townsville? Whatever it is, the Dolphins must be gorging themselves on it. The Dolphins, after their initial year of success, have looked more and more pathetic as time passed. Poor handling, shocking defense and the highest penalty rate of any side have lead to the side's first Wooden Spoon, and unless coach Jason Kelly possesses an antidote, I predict it'll be a looong year north of the border.
*Key Player*: Jason Ferris
*Wild Card*: PJ Marsh
*Up and Comer*: Gael Tallic

chriswalkerbush - July 5, 2003 04:57 AM (GMT)
Later Prediction

It's drawing closer with every day, and the 2001/2002 ASRL Season is looking like a real thriller. For the first time in ASRL history, twenty sides will compete for the richest prize in Australian Rugby League; the Reg Gasnier Trophy. Wedged in between thrilling club games is the competetive State of Origin, and tests against New Zealand, France and England; making 2001/2002 a real 'fan's' season. What season would be complete without my predictions and their subsequent disproval by some side which sneaks into the Grand Final? Without further ado, I give you, ASRL Weekly Magazine's predicted finish for 2001/2002.

1). *Perth Taipans*
Who can go passed this classy side as obvious favourites for the crown this season? They were unlucky to miss a Grand Final berth last year, pipped by Brisbane in a thrilling semi-final, and have bought solidly in the off-season. The purchase of classy players such as Keiran Cunningham to compliment the natural brilliance of Lockyer has established Perth as the side to beat this season. Still, the real test will be how they cope with injuries. The number of high-profile players on the Perth run-on side means that their reserves are quite weak, and it will be interesting to see how coach Dominik Bush coaches with any injuries to his playmakers.

2). *Hawkesbury Mavericks*
The other side which narrowly missed a place in the Grand Final, Hawkesbury were competetive right up until the final siren, when an attempted penalty goal from Matthew Ridge shaved the upright and ended Hawkesbury's undefeated run of nine matches. It was a dissapointing end for the side that finished second, but Hawkesbury coach Andrew Sumner looks to build on one of the club's finest performances in recent years. The signing of hard-working forwards such as Adam Muir and Tony Butterfield will ensure that the Mavericks will be one of the toughest defensive sides in the league this season. The closest the competition has to a defensive powerhouse. The Mavericks real problem is that they lack established playmakers. Ridge and Stuart are getting on a little, but the addition of Paul Green on the bench should cause problems for a few sides.

3). *Gold Coast Crusade*
The 'Crusade' finished low on the 8 last year, but you can never write-off a side with players such as Andrew Johns, Kris Radlinksi and Matthew Rodwell in their starting lineup. The Gold Coast Crusade's biggest problem last season were their defensive woes, an area which coach Chris Walker-Bush claims to have cleaned up in the off-season. There is no doubt that Johns and Radlinski are awesome defensive players by themselves, but they needed support last season. The purchase of classy players such as Carney, Vaikona and Bai should go a long way towards ending the side's defensive woes.

4). *Sydney Oilers*
A sudden dip in premiership betting followed the Oilers embarassing 24-8 loss to Central, but I can't see the Oilers performing at that consistently low level. With players the calibre of 'The Man' Mundine and Preston 'Apricot' Campbell running around the park, Sydney look to be one of the most exciting attacking sides this season. Campbell's livewire running style will be enhanced by the presence of Mundine's individual brilliance, whilst the sides formidable forward pack will no doubt trouble lower rated defensive sides. Coach Adam Mills says 'I'm excited about this season. We finished a little half-arsed last season and bombed out of the finals, this year we'll have a little more staying power'. When one of the greats of the modern game is willing to admit his side has a problem, then he's halfway to solving it.

5). *Country Diamonds*
In their first year, the Diamonds look to make an immediate impact. I'm loathe to place them so high, but their side looks very powerful. Whilst they might not be able to match it with established packs such as Perth or Hawkesbury, they'll certainly dominate the ranks of the new clubs. Captained by Ivan Cleary, but made up of some of the game's finest young talent, the Diamonds will do the Riverina area proud when they run onto the park.

6). *Hobart Devils*
Without a doubt, the Devils have the finest halves pairing in the ASRL. Trent Barret and Brett Kimmorley were a barb in Perth's side last year, and had Manly worried about a potential final's meeting. In their two games against the Cannons, Hobart scored 54 points, including inflicting a 28-0 defeat on the eventual premiers only two weeks from the finals series. Their former coach, Dayne Rosolen, lacked the foresight required to create a premiership winning side, and hopefully the new coach (Murray Norris) can guide them to their first premiership in some time.

7). *Adelaide Attitude*
Nicknamed the 'England Attitude' by their opponents, the Attitude is made formidable by the fact that it fields a large contingent of former English Super League players such as Henry Paul. Regardless of its player's origins, the Attitude will be a real force this season. New coach Jeff Card hopes to ammend the side's 'chokers' tag, a tag which saw them drop a 20 point lead against Brisbane in the Quarter Finals last season.

. *Central Phoenix*
It's funny how one signing can change a side from cellar-dwellers to potential premiers. The signing of Wallaby Captain George Gregan has greatly increased the backing of the Phoenix to collect their first premiership in over a decade. Gregan will compliment classy players such as Clinton Schifcofse and Jim Dymock, whilst his own leadership ability may be the final factor in turning the talented Central side into a threat to anyone they face.

9). Manly Cannons
The reigning premiers so low on my tip? Sacrilige! I would never have considered putting the Cannons so low if it weren't for their enormous losses in the off season. Whilst their forward pack is still one of the finest in the ASRL, they have lost a lot of their playmakers. Chief amongst their losses have been hooker Ben Ikin, 5/8th Adam Dykes and Halfback Brett Kimmorley. Whilst I don't doubt the Cannons' dedication, I am forced to doubt their attacking ability in the absence of such quality players. I won't write them off though. Stacey Jones is a more than capable replacement, and if anyone can make it two from two, it's veteran coach Paul Hardwick.

10). *New England Ferrets*
Despite their somewhat unusual mascot, the Ferrets are still a quality football side. Lead ably by David Peachy, and with the signing of Ben Walker and Ben Ikin, sides will be hard pressed to match it with New England's superior attacking ability. If any side can force their way into the Final 8, it'll be the New England Ferrets. I doubt their ability to match it in the big games, but look for them to upset some favourites along the way. Coach Rowland Kelly claims 'I have no idea what I'm doing, but it works'. No truer words were ever spoken.

11). *North Melbourne Maulers*
The only remaining Victorian side, the Maulers will yet again push for a Top 8 finish. Whether they achieve this goal relies largely on the skills of unpredictable coach Stuart Robinson. He'd be accused of mind games if only he possessed the intelligence required, and we all know that Stuart 'Fuzz' Robinson will laugh when he reads this article. The Maulers possess players such as Tawera Nikau and Robbie Paul, and as long as Fuzz can keep them on the park for 26 Rounds, he'll be halfway to stealing a place in the Final 8. The other half is knowing when to rest key players. How badly is Stuart regretting the choice of fielding a full strength side for a friendly against the then second division Country Diamonds only a week out from a 'must win' game? No more stupid mistakes.

12). *Sunshine Coast Wizards*
What can be said about the Wizards that hasn't already been said? The wild-card side almost every year, it's impossible to bet on the side from Queensland's Sunshine Coast. One year they'll sneak in a snatch the premiership, only to languish in mediocrity a year later. Outgoing coach David Harris claims 'it's impossible to coach this side', but incoming coach 'Maddo' claims 'Dave was a good guy, but he wasn't up to the challenge of taking a nameless side into premiership history, I am'. Will these words come back to haunt the rookie coach? Or will they be played over and over again in post Grand Final celebrations later this year? Only time, and the signing a boom youngest Gael Tallic, will tell.

13). *Carnarvon Cowboys*
The 'other Western Australian side' has never really risen to the level of its more famous southern cousin. Over the years they've produced countless quality sides, all of whom have fallen short of the mark. It hasn't been poor coaching or bad players, it's been injuries which have prevented from the Cowboys from taking their place in premiership history. It seems that there is something in the water up Carnarvon way, and it does a marvellous job of attracting broken bones and torn hamstrings. They'll scare a few sides along the way, but when the injuries set in, it'll be another lacklustre year for Jeanette Bush's beloved Cowboys.

14). *Darwin Cyclones*
A new coach might be just Darwin need to shoot them from the lower end of the premiership table. There is no doubt that the side possesses some talented players, a glance at their roster will reaffirm anyone's doubts that they can play football, it just seems they lack direction on the field. New coach Luke Sharpe will hopefully do something to sway their mixed fortunes and guide them to their first Finals Series since 1991.

15). *Brisbane Bulls*
They made last year's Grand Final? So what!? They were the luckiest side in premiership history. Downing chokers Adelaide 22-20 in the Quarter Final, they then downed an injury battered Sydney side before managing to somehow hold off Hawkesbury in the Major Semi Final. And I think everyone is still trying to forget their woeful Grand Final appearance, in which they reached new lows in losing 24-6. The scoreline has some respectability, but not much. New coach John Vizer can hopefully produce a little miracle, because that is all I can see that could make it two Finals Series in a row for the inept Bulls.

16). *Newcastle Fear*
It's been a long time since the Newcastle Fear have inspired their namesake in opposition. They do possess some talent, but they always fail to deliver to the capacity crowds they continually attract. It seems almost criminal for a side that struggles year in and year out to have such a vast supporter base (second only to Perth) when higher placed sides such as Manly fail to attract large crowds for anything but the biggest games. Maybe, just maybe, the signing of a new coach is the secret ingredient in the complex recipe which makes up a premiership winning side.

17). *West Sydney Pumas*
A new side, but one with a lot of veteran players, and coached by the talented Matty Sabo. Whereas a lot of new sides buy overrated pensioners and unknown youngsters, the Pumas instead looked to the not-so-sunny shores of England for players. That's not to say they bought an entire English club out, the side also has some of the most inspiring rising talents in Rugby League. Youngsters such as Justin McKay are the future of the game, and in the case of West Sydney, a pivotal part in Matty Sabo's plans for a first year Finals berth.

1 . *Central Coast Falcons*
The @#%$ flavour of the competition comes in the form of Anthony @#%$'s much loved Falcons. Whilst they may not be consistently good performers, the Falcons still manage to pull in huge crowds. Whether it's charismatic players such as Hazem El Masri and Paul Harrogan or exciting pre-match entertainment, the Falcons know how to keep the crowd figures up. And they have to after last year's woeful performance in second division. The merged divisions gives the Falcons a chance to show their talents to a wider audience, and if Anthony @#%$ can somehow turn his ragtag band of players into a premiership force, he'll have a recipe for endless revenue.

19). *Parramatta Vikings*
Without the experience which comes with a few years in second division, I can't see the Vikings really pressing for premiership success this year. Still, they possess a strong side, and showed in their trial against NSW Schoolboys that they could score points (62 of them in fact), whilst conceding a tally of only 10. I wouldn't be at all surprised for Parramatta to finish higher up on the table, but I expect them to spend their first season struggling, as all sides must.

20). *Canberra Chargers*
It's always cruel to name which side will finish last, but in the case of Canberra I have a good reason. They don't have a side, and the cream of the crop has been disperesed amongst the other nineteen clubs. Unless coach Daniel Murphy has a secret crop of Rugby League talent in his back paddock, the Chargers will be hard pressed to field a competetive side this season. You never can tell though. With players such as Paul Deacon still on the market, Murphy may just be able to scrape together a threatening lineup for his side's first year.

Grand Final
I'm predicting Hawkesbury to down Perth 24-16.

[u]Most Tries[/i]
Look for Nathan Blacklock, Matthew Rodwell and Lote Tuqiri to take the prize.

Player of the Year
It's a tough field, so I'll take the coward's way out and back Brad Fittler, Andrew Johns, Matthew Rodwell, Henry Paul, Clinton Schifcofske, George Gregan, Ben Kennedy, Anthony Mundine, Paul Harrogan, Paul Wellens and countless other quality playmakers.

This is Arthur Rogers, Editor of ASRL Weekly, signing off for now.
Arthur Rogers

chriswalkerbush - July 5, 2003 04:59 AM (GMT)
Post Trial Prediction

The trials have shown us that some sides are out to improve, and some sides are already on the decline. So, without further ado, her is the predicted finish for the 2001/2002 ASRL Season.

#1- Perth Taipans
The Taipans showed in both their trial games that their defence was solid. They played two quality sides in Carnarvon and Adelaide, and came out having conceded only 24 points. Their attack wasn't as good as expected, but they still amassed a respectable tally in their two games. Darren Lockyer showed that he'll be a player to watch this year, scoring 22 points in two games, including a 16 point haul against Carnarvon.

#2- Hawkesbury Mavericks
The Mavericks managed to emulate the Taipans' undefeated run, downing the reigning premiers in fine style along the way. Their attack was lacklustre against the hapless Chargers, but they did down Manly 22-8 in an entertaining day. If any side is really going to pressure Perth, it'll be the Mavericks.

#3- Sydney Oilers
The Oilers showed some impressive form against quality sides, downing Adelaide in a thriller before crushing the hapless Sunshine Coast Wizards. Whilst they may not have the staying power, I think they'll make the Top 4 with ease.

#4- Gold Coast Crusade
Hobart may have been an upset, but the game highlighted Gold Coast's flawed defensive strategy. Whilst they don't concede many penalties, they are conceding too many tries. Four against Hobart and two against Brisbane. The Crusade will be competetive as long as they can keep players like Andrew Johns and Kris Radlinski on the park.

#5- North Melbourne Maulers
Permit me to cook and eat my hat. The Maulers have come in and shocked everyone with two very solid trial performances. They downed a lacklustre Hobart side, before doing a similar job on Carnarvon. New coach Jelly Adams must be pleased with his sides performance. May push for a Top 4 berth, but a Final 8 spot is more realistic.

#6- Country Diamonds
Ignoring their woeful performance against New England, I think it is safe to think that Country will make a Finals appearance in their first year. The dominated the Central Phoenix, only to be thrashed soundly by the Rowland 'Schmo' Kelly coached Ferrets. Bad luck maybe, we'll see come Round 1.

#7- Adelaide Attitude
Unlucky to lose both of their trial games, the Attitude looked too good to be rewarded with nothing. Going down by two points to Sydney and three points to Perth shows that they can match it with the league's big guns. I expect Adelaide to really surprise a few people this year.

#8- Hobart Devils
They showed against Gold Coast that they'll be tough to down at home, pushing the premiership heavyweights to their first trial loss. With the likes of Brett Kimmorley and Trent Barret, the side will surprise and upset a lot of people along the way. I think those who underestimate the Devils, will find themselves on the wrong end of a thrashing. Gold Coast coach Chris Walker-Bush summed it up best when he said 'The Hobart side are a sleeping giant, I came down here expecting to win, and got a beating because of it. We'll be ready next time'.

#9- Central Phoenix
Were soundly thrashed by Country, but put in an impressive effort against the ever improving Central Coast side. With George Gregan at captain and Matt Orford at halfback, the side will be pushing for the Final 8, but they may fall at the last hurdle. The Phoenix showed last year that they can't handle the pressure games, and I'm sure coach Tony Bush would like to improve on that.

#10- Manly Cannons
The Cannons aren't showing any of the impressive form that won them a premiership last year, and I think back to back is a big ask. They struggled against Sunshine Coast, and were soundly thrashed by the side they eliminated from the finals last year. I think the loss of key playmakers has cost Manly, and it'll take a resurrection of mammoth proportions to get things back on track.

#11- New England Ferrets
Showed some pluck in their defeat of Country, but struggled against a determined West Sydney side. The 'Ben Pairing' will always be threatening, but until New England can improve on their away performances, they will struggle to make a Final Series. Wouldn't be surprised to see them there, but I doubt they'll make it past the first round of finals if they do.

#12- West Sydney Pumas
For a new side, West Sydney have certainly surprised a few people. The rag-tag collection of rookies and older players have really shown that they can handle pressure matches, downing New England in a thriller before soundly thrashing their Parramatta rivals. West Sydney may just sneak into the finals, but I think they'll lack the comittment to win a premiership in their first year.

#13- Carnarvon Cowboys
Haven't had the best of starts, but you can't write off a side with so many class players. Performed admirably against two quality sides in Perth and North Melbourne, but will need to work on their defence if they intend to beat these higher placed sides.

#14- Darwin Cyclones
Despite their undefeated run, I can't see Darwin being a real threat this year. Their defence was admirable, but realistically, they weren't facing the most challenging attack. Central Coast produced a woeful performance in their first game, whilst Brisbane haven't looked good all year. I think Darwin will scare a few sides, but may find themselves on the wrong end of a thrashing should they face Perth or Hawkesbury away.

#15- Sunshine Coast Wizards
Two losses from two appearances, including a heavy loss to Sydney. Their form thus far shouldn't be too big an indicator, as they have played the reigning premiers and one of this year's real contenders. Look to see the Wizards dominating the lower placed sides, even a few of the Top 8 sides. I think the finals are out of their reach this season.

#16- Brisbane Bulls
The runners up from last season have not impressed me this season. They managed to keep in touch with Gold Coast at home, and then failed to score a single try against the Darwin Cyclones. If coach John Vizer is expecting to go one better this year, he'd better remedy his sides woeful attacking style.

#17- Newcastle Fear
Have come through the trials unbeaten, but shouldn't be too cocky. They drew with Parramatta and managed to down wooden spoon favourites Canberra by a measly 20 points. Still, with some attacking improvement, Newcastle could prove to be a real surprise packet this year.

#18- Central Coast Falcons
After their woeful performance against Darwin, all Central Coast could do was improve, and they did so against the Central Phoenix. To score 24 points and lose is always disappointing, and I'm sure coach Anthony @#%$ will make some immediate changes to remedy the defensive problems in his side. They'll prove difficult, but may lack the comittment to pressure for a finals berth.

#19- Parramatta Vikings
This may be an early guess, but I'm not expecting Parramatta to produce anything special this year. They did manage a draw with glamour club Newcastle, before being easily beaten by their Sydney rivals in West Sydney. The side is good, but I just think they lack the depth to be a real threat this season. Coach Marshal Boyd will have some tricks up his sleeve though, so don't write them off.

#20- Canberra Chargers
The obvious choice for Wooden Spoon. The Chargers have been absolutely woeful so far, prompting calls for ASRL CEO Chris Walker-Bush to reconsider the viability of a Canberra franchise. Conceding 44 points in two games and scoring a single try, the Chargers have the worst for and against after the trials. I don't think this is an isolated incident either, and I wouldn't be surprised to see them emulate this dubious achievement throughout the season. It's a pity, but I think you'll see the Canberra Chargers first on the list should a second division be needed.

chriswalkerbush - July 5, 2003 05:00 AM (GMT)
Round Nine Re-Assessment

After nine rounds of exciting football, some sides have really surprised critics, whilst others have villified my earlier selections. Without further ado, here are my predictions for the rest of the season.

#1- Perth Taipans
You really can't go past the Taipans. They lost an exciting game against North Melbourne, as well as an upset loss to Central, but have otherwise proven themselves to be the side to beat. Not in the same red hot form they possessed late last season, but still daunting.

#2- Gold Coast Crusade
A vast improvement on their trial performances has seen the Crusade shorten in premiership odds. Their one loss came against Canberra during the Aus vs. New Zealand test, when six of their first grade squad were absent. The Crusade seem to struggle against lowly sides, and produce memorable performances against higher placed ones. Their wins over Hawkesbury and Adelaide prove that. If they can topple some of the real giants in North Melbourne and Perth- I'll like their chances.

#3- North Melbourne Maulers
A surprise packet, the Maulers, lead by Bill Rhyven, have proven to be a very consistent side in the opening rounds. They've had little trouble at home, no matter the opposition, and should be able to establish a good finals run in they can secure a Top 4 spot.

#4- New England Ferrets
The Ferrets have really surprised a lot of people with their performance so far, sitting in second after nine rounds. They've proved incredibly solid at home, and their away performances aren't much worse. Should be able to make a Top 4 finish if they can maintain this form.

#5- Adelaide Attitude
A little shaky of late, but the Attitude are still a red hot side. Proved earlier in the season that they can match it with anyone, but these past two weeks have been dominated by handling errors and poor attack. Scoring 24 points and conceding 14 in two games is hardly admirable, especially against sides such as Canberra and Central Coast.

#6- Hobart Devils
After a brilliant start to the season, the Devils have slumped into a familiar form slump. With coach Murray Norris absent for a few weeks on a New Zealand tour, the side is in the hands of caretaker coach Leigh Bush. If Bush can find a winning combination between the halves and fullback, the side should make up some places on the ladder.

#7- Manly Cannons
Produced the form that saw them as premiers last year, before hitting a form slump in the absence of coach David McElroy. McElroy's injection into the club has kick-started a miraculous form reversal, and with him due back this week, big things can be expected of Manly.

#8- Central Phoenix
The top attacking side in the league, it's hard to believe that Central hadn't won a game after three rounds. Now they've stablished, producing some scintillating attack under the able guidance of Tony Bush. As long as they can keep Orford, Gregan and Wing on the park, they should be right.

#9- Hawkesbury Mavericks
The meteoric spiralling decline of Hawkesbury has shocked many punters, especially after their promising trial performances. New coach Guy R hopes to turn things around, but it may take a miracle to see the Mavericks make the eight.

#10- Carnarvon Cowboys
Surprisingly high placed after nine rounds, the Cowboys may not have the staying power to make the finals. Jason Taylor is ably guiding them around the park, but should their goal-kicking halfback be injured, there could be big problems out west.

#11- Sydney Oilers
The Oilers, like Hawkesbury, have hit a worrying form slump. After the demoralising loss to Perth, the Oilers remaining in bad form, before bouncing back recently. The shock loss to Brisbane has definately had a negative effect, but hopefully Adam Mills can bring them out of their slump. A final 8 possibility, however slim.

#12- Darwin Cyclones- The Cyclones are a quality side, but their form is inconsistent at best. They probably deserve to be higher placed than what they are, but until they can hit a streak, they are going to be a mediocre side.

#13- Sunshine Coast Wizards
After being highly placed for a few rounds, the Wizards were brought to earth after some shocking losses to competetive sides. If Maddo can turn the side's choker tag around, the Wizards might be able to sneak into the finals.

#14- Newcastle Fear
They've produced some memorable performances this season to give them the best defensive record in the league. The Fear are outsiders for a final 8 appearance, but if they can produce a solid year, they may find themselves with good odds in 2002/2003.

#15- Country Diamonds
After some favouritism in early betting, the Diamonds have failed to deliver everything that their quality side promised. It's not poor coaching or poor play, just bad luck. If the Diamonds can search for four leaf clovers and avoid ladders, they may be able to sneak up the ladder.

#16- Brisbane Bulls
The runners up from last season have been a little better of late, but will need to find a quality goal kicker in the near future if they wish to be competetive. Both Robbie O'Davis and Richie Barnett have been woeful with the boot, prompting calls for new coach Chris to find a decent kicker. Hopefully the Round 13 Feeding Frenzy can remedy this.

#17- Central Coast Falcons
After a few weeks in first, the Falcons have come hurtling back to earth, just like most educated bookies would've expected. Still, they are continually competetive, even against sides such as Central and Adelaide. Halligan's absence has hurt them, so they may improve with his return.

#18- Parramatta Vikings
The trades mid-season have done little to stave the worrying form slump that Marshal Boyd's Vikings have found themselves in.

#19- Canberra Chargers
The Chargers may be dead last, but they've been producing some quality performances. Sean Towers and Scott Logan try really hard for the hapless Chargers, and as long as both remain on the park, the side should be competetive. Might upset a few along the way.

#20- West Sydney Pumas
Have produced incredibly poor performances to find themselves in 19th position after nine rounds. Their attack and defence has been incredibly poor, which makes Matty Sabo's retirement no surprise. Might be able to claw their way up, if they can figure out how to play again.




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